Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey: Unfilled orders: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Philly FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey (Philly FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on firms' responses to the Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey carried out by the Philadelphia FED, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for unfilled orders (share of CEOs seeing a recent increase minus share reporting a decrease) stood at -6.6 in September 2025, compared to -16.8 in August.
Sample. This monthly series has 689 data points overall. The span of time covered by the series extends from May 1968 to September 2025.
History. Here's a peek at a few simple statistics we calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index hit a minimum of -60.9 in December 1974; it recorded its maximum of 45.1 in March 1973; it had a mean of -4.2.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-07-31 | 5.7 |
| 2025-08-31 | -16.8 |
| 2025-09-30 | -6.6 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Did unfilled orders increase or decrease in the past month? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Coincident indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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