Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey: Delivery times: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Philly FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey (Philly FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the Third Federal Reserve District, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for delivery times (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 0.0 in September 2025, the same as in August.
Sample. In this monthly series, there are a total of 689 records. The period covered by the series is from May 1968 to September 2025.
History. Here's a peek at a few statistics calculated on the full sample: the diffusion index was equal on average to -1.0; it recorded a maximum of 28.0 in June 1983; it recorded a bottom of -39.6 in June 2022.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-07-31 | 6.7 |
| 2025-08-31 | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-30 | 0.0 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will delivery times increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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