Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices received: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on a sample of manufacturing firms surveyd by the FED, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for prices received (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at 42.8 in September 2026, versus 40.9 in August 2026.
Sample. There are 267 records overall in the monthly series shown in the figure above. The time range covered by the series stretches from June 2004 to September 2026.
History. Here's a glimpse of some simple statistics calculated on the entire sample: the diffusion index hit a peak of 59.2 in March 2022; it recorded a minimum of -24.0 in February 2009; it had a mean value of 22.0.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 34.4000 |
| 2026-08-31 | 40.9000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 42.8000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices received increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
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