Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices received: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on a sample of manufacturing firms surveyd by the FED, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for prices received (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at 35.5 in August 2025, versus 43.2 in the previous month.
Sample. There are 254 records overall in the monthly series presented in the graph above. The series covers the span of time stretching from June 2004 to August 2025.
History. Here’s a quick look at a few summary statistics calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index was equal on average to 21.2; it registered a minimum of -24.0 in February 2009; it achieved a maximum of 59.2 in March 2022.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | 27.3 |
| 2025-07-31 | 43.2 |
| 2025-08-31 | 35.5 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices received increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.