Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Delivery times: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on a sample of manufacturing firms surveyd by the FED, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for delivery times (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was -1.9 in August 2025, versus -5.6 in July.
Sample. The monthly time series shown in the plot has 255 records in total. The period covered by the series stretches from June 2004 to August 2025.
History. Have a look at some statistics calculated on the entire sample: the diffusion index registered a minimum of -25.9 in February 2009; it peaked at 14.4 in May 2018; it was equal on average to -1.4.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | -0.5 |
| 2025-07-31 | -5.6 |
| 2025-08-31 | -1.9 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will delivery times increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
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