Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Delivery times: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on a sample of manufacturing firms surveyd by the FED, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for delivery times (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 13.9 in September 2026, compared to 15.4 in August.
Sample. There are 268 data points overall in the monthly time series displayed in the plot above. The time range covered by the series extends from June 2004 to September 2026.
History. Here are a few descriptive statistics computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index was equal on average to -1.1; it reached its maximum of 15.4 in August 2026; it hit a minimum of -26.0 in February 2009.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 2.30000 |
| 2026-08-31 | 15.4000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 13.9000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will delivery times increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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