Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: New orders: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in Texas, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for new orders (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 36.9 in September 2026, compared to 36.3 in August 2026.
Sample. There are 267 observations in the monthly time series shown in the plot above. The series covers the time span going from June 2004 to September 2026.
History. Here's a glimpse of some descriptive statistics computed on the full sample: the diffusion index recorded a bottom of -19.6 in March 2020; it hit a maximum of 70.0 in November 2004; it averaged 33.3.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 23.0000 |
| 2026-08-31 | 36.3000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 36.9000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will new orders increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
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