Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in Texas, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 44.0 in August 2025, compared to 45.9 in July.
Sample. The monthly time series presented in the chart has 254 observations overall. The time period covered by the series goes from June 2004 to August 2025.
History. Here's a snapshot of some summary statistics we computed on the full sample: the diffusion index averaged 33.7; it reached its highest level of 67.4 in February 2011; it hit a trough of -24.2 in January 2009.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | 39.5 |
| 2025-07-31 | 45.9 |
| 2025-08-31 | 44.0 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
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