Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to survey data about manufacturers based in Texas, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at 52.6 in September 2026, versus 49.3 in August.
Sample. There are 267 data points overall in the monthly series displayed in the graph above. The series covers the period going from June 2004 to September 2026.
History. Have a look at a few statistics calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index recorded a maximum of 67.4 in February 2011; it recorded a minimum of -24.2 in January 2009; it had a mean value of 34.2.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 42.6000 |
| 2026-08-31 | 49.3000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 52.6000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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