Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to survey data about manufacturers based in Texas, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 47.8 in August 2025, versus 47.7 in July 2025.
Sample. This monthly series has a total of 255 records. The time range covered by the series stretches from June 2004 to August 2025.
History. Have a look at a few simple statistics we computed on the full sample: the diffusion index recorded a maximum of 67.8 in July 2008; it hit a trough of -26.6 in January 2009; it was equal on average to 33.7.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | 39.9 |
| 2025-07-31 | 47.7 |
| 2025-08-31 | 47.8 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
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