Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Number of employees: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on firms' responses to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey carried out by the Dallas FED, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for the number of employees (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at 27.6 in August 2025, compared to 27.3 in July 2025.
Sample. There are 255 data points in the monthly series presented in the plot above. The series covers the period extending from June 2004 to August 2025.
History. Here are some simple statistics calculated on the entire sample: the diffusion index averaged 22.8; it reached a minimum of -28.8 in January 2009; it recorded a maximum of 52.1 in January 2022.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | 15.4 |
| 2025-07-31 | 27.3 |
| 2025-08-31 | 27.6 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will the number of employees increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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