Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices received: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on firms' responses to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey carried out by the Dallas FED, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices received (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 42.8 in September 2026, compared to 40.9 in August 2026.
Sample. There are 268 data points overall in the monthly series displayed in the figure above. The period covered by the series stretches from June 2004 to September 2026.
History. Here's a glimpse of some descriptive statistics calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index reached its highest level of 59.2 in March 2022; it reached its minimum of -24.0 in February 2009; it had an average value of 22.0.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 34.4000 |
| 2026-08-31 | 40.9000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 42.8000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices received increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
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