Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Prices received: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to survey data about NY-based manufacturers collected by the Federal Reserve, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices received (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 42.3 in September 2026, compared to 48.7 in the previous month.
Sample. There are 303 records in the monthly series presented in the figure above. The span of time covered by the series goes from July 2001 to September 2026.
History. Check out a few summary statistics computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index averaged 23.0; it hit a trough of -17.1 in March 2009; it reached its highest level of 60.1 in July 2021.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 41.9000 |
| 2026-08-31 | 48.7000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 42.3000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices received increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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