Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Availability of supplies: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on manufacturing firms' responses to the Empire State Survey carried out by the New York FED, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for the availability of supplies (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at -2.0 in September 2025, versus -1.8 in August 2025.
Sample. In this montly series, there are 17 records overall. The time period covered by the series is from May 2024 to September 2025.
History. Here's a peek at some summary statistics we calculated on the entire sample: the diffusion index hit a trough of -27.6 in May 2025; it reached its highest level of 9.1 in May 2024; it had a mean of -3.5.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-07-31 | -2.8 |
| 2025-08-31 | -1.8 |
| 2025-09-30 | -2.0 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will the availability of supplies increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Montly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.