Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Availability of supplies: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the State of New York, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for the availability of supplies (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was -2.0 in September 2025, versus -1.8 in the previous month.
Sample. There are 17 observations overall in the montly series shown in the figure above. The series covers the time period extending from May 2024 to September 2025.
History. Here's a peek at a few simple statistics calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index recorded a minimum of -27.6 in May 2025; it attained a maximum of 9.1 in May 2024; it averaged -3.5.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-07-31 | -2.8 |
| 2025-08-31 | -1.8 |
| 2025-09-30 | -2.0 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will the availability of supplies increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Montly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
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