Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Delivery times: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the State of New York, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for delivery times (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at 7.9 in September 2026, versus 7.2 in August.
Sample. In this monthly time series, there are 303 data points overall. The series covers the span of time extending from July 2001 to September 2026.
History. Here's a snapshot of some summary statistics calculated on the full sample: the diffusion index had an average value of -0.8; it peaked at 18.7 in March 2022; it hit a minimum of -20.5 in September 2001.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | -4.00000 |
| 2026-08-31 | 7.20000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 7.90000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will delivery times increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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