Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the State of New York, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 67.3 in September 2026, compared to 57.7 in August 2026.
Sample. There are 303 records overall in the monthly series presented in the figure above. The time period covered by the series is from July 2001 to September 2026.
History. Take a look at some descriptive statistics calculated on the full sample: the diffusion index recorded its highest level of 76.7 in January 2022; it recorded a minimum of -26.9 in September 2001; it had a mean value of 42.2.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 53.0000 |
| 2026-08-31 | 57.7000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 67.3000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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