Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey: Shipments: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Kansas City Fed - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the Tenth Federal Reserve District, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for shipments stood at 30.0 (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) in February 2026, versus 16.0 in January 2026.
Sample. In the monthly time series presented in the chart, there are a total of 296 data points. The time period covered by the series goes from July 2001 to February 2026.
History. Here's a glimpse of a few simple statistics we calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index had a mean of 25.4; it registered a minimum of -38.0 in March 2020; it peaked at 59.0 in May 2021.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 9.0 |
| 2026-01-31 | 16.0 |
| 2026-02-28 | 30.0 |
Suggestion. One of the advantages of using FetchSeries is that we provide accurate metadata. Find it below to better understand the properties of the series that you analyze.
Not for investment purposes. Any financial data collected and published on FetchSeries are not not supposed to be used for investment purposes or as a basis for financial-decision making. Users should obtain professional advice and perform independent analysis before taking any financial risk.
Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will shipments increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Reproduction allowed subject to conditions |
| Other information | FS correspondence: Shipments |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.