Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey: New orders: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Kansas City Fed - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the Tenth Federal Reserve District, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for new orders was 17.0 (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) in December 2025, versus 13.0 in November.
Sample. This monthly time series has 294 observations. The time span covered by the series stretches from July 2001 to December 2025.
History. Here’s a quick look at a few statistics we computed on the full sample: the diffusion index had an average value of 22.8; it hit a peak of 52.0 in October 2003; it hit a minimum of -35.0 in March 2020.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-10-31 | 10.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 13.0 |
| 2025-12-31 | 17.0 |
Suggestion. We categorize series into data sets and worksheets to make your life easier. When you look below, you will find how we arranged further information related to the statistics published here.
Not for investment purposes. Content distributed on FetchSeries is not intended for investment purposes or as a basis for financial-decision making. Users should ask for expert advice and do their own independent due diligence before pledging money to any investment.
Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will new orders increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Reproduction allowed subject to conditions |
| Other information | FS correspondence: New orders |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.