Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Kansas City Fed - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the Tenth Federal Reserve District, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for prices paid stood at 59.0 (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) in February 2026, versus 54.0 in January 2026.
Sample. There are 296 data points in the monthly series displayed in the plot above. The series covers the span of time going from July 2001 to February 2026.
History. Take a look at some summary statistics calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index recorded its highest level of 85.0 in May 2008; it hit a trough of -16.0 in January 2009; it had a mean of 43.9.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 59.0 |
| 2026-01-31 | 54.0 |
| 2026-02-28 | 59.0 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Reproduction allowed subject to conditions |
| Other information | FS correspondence: Prices paid |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
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