Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey: New orders for exports: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Kansas City Fed - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the Tenth Federal Reserve District, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for new orders for exports stood at -3.0 (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) in September 2026, the same value recorded in August 2026.
Sample. There are 303 records overall in the monthly series presented in the graph above. The time span covered by the series stretches from July 2001 to September 2026.
History. Here's a peek at some summary statistics computed on the entire sample: the diffusion index had a mean value of 6.4; it recorded its highest level of 26.0 in May 2008; it reached a trough of -17.0 in March 2020.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | -3.00000 |
| 2026-08-31 | -3.00000 |
| 2026-09-30 | -3.00000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will new orders for export increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Reproduction allowed subject to conditions |
| Other information | FS correspondence: New orders for exports |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
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