Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey: Delivery times: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Kansas City Fed - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the Tenth Federal Reserve District, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for delivery times stood at 10.0 (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) in February 2026, compared to 7.0 in the previous month.
Sample. There are 296 records in the monthly series shown in the graph above. The series covers the period extending from July 2001 to February 2026.
History. Here's a peek at a few simple statistics we calculated on the full sample: the diffusion index was equal on average to 7.2; it hit a peak of 49.0 in March 2022; it reached its minimum of -14.0 in June 2023.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 6.0 |
| 2026-01-31 | 7.0 |
| 2026-02-28 | 10.0 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will delivery times increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Reproduction allowed subject to conditions |
| Other information | FS correspondence: Delivery times |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
Series in the same data set
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