Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey: Delivery times: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Kansas City Fed - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the Tenth Federal Reserve District, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for delivery times was 5.0 (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) in December 2025, compared to 6.0 in November 2025.
Sample. There are 294 observations overall in the monthly series shown in the chart above. The series covers the period extending from July 2001 to December 2025.
History. Have a look at some statistics computed on the full sample: the diffusion index averaged 7.2; it reached a maximum of 48.0 in October 2021; it reached a minimum of -12.0 in June 2023.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-10-31 | 17.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 6.0 |
| 2025-12-31 | 5.0 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will delivery times increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Reproduction allowed subject to conditions |
| Other information | FS correspondence: Delivery times |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
Series in the same data set
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