Business Leaders Survey: Supply availability: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Business Leaders Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about service firms in the Second Federal Reserve District, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for supply availability (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was -9.9 in October 2026, compared to -14.6 in September.
Sample. This monthly time series has 30 data points overall. The time span covered by the series stretches from May 2024 to October 2026.
History. Check out some descriptive statistics we calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index hit a minimum of -46.1 in May 2025; it reached a maximum of 10.4 in November 2024; it had a mean of -9.6.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | -8.30000 |
| 2026-09-30 | -14.6000 |
| 2026-10-31 | -9.90000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Over the next six months do you expect supply availability to increase or decrease? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.
Current conditions SA
| Series Name | Observations | Start Date | End Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Business Leaders Survey: Wages: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly | 266 | 2004-09-30 | 2026-10-31 |
Future conditions SA
| Series Name | Observations | Start Date | End Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Business Leaders Survey: Wages: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly | 266 | 2004-09-30 | 2026-10-31 |