Average Fed Mfg Survey: Production: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - FSR - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Average Fed Mfg Survey (FetchSeries Research)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on an average of regional Federal Reserve manufacturing surveys, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for production was 24.8 (share of CEOs seeing a recent increase minus share reporting a decrease) in September 2026, versus 16.6 in August.
Sample. In this monthly series, there are 268 data points. The series covers the period stretching from June 2004 to September 2026.
History. Here’s a quick look at a few statistics we computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index had an average value of 8.2; it recorded its maximum of 35.6 in May 2018; it recorded a minimum of -60.0 in April 2020.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 13.5500 |
| 2026-08-31 | 16.5500 |
| 2026-09-30 | 24.7500 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Did production increase or decrease in the past month? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Coincident indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | FetchSeries Research calculations on Federal Reserve data |
| Source type | Data research lab |
| Data licence | Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) + FetchSeries disclaimers |
| Other information | Arithmetic average across 2 regional Federal Reserve manufacturing surveys |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
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