Average Fed Mfg Survey: Prices received: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - FSR - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Average Fed Mfg Survey (FetchSeries Research)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on an average of regional Federal Reserve manufacturing surveys, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices received was 54.1 (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) in September 2026, versus 51.6 in August 2026.
Sample. In this monthly time series, there are a total of 268 observations. The time range covered by the series stretches from June 2004 to September 2026.
History. Here's a glimpse of some descriptive statistics calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index reached a trough of -17.5 in March 2009; it reached its maximum of 62.5 in March 2022; it had a mean of 26.8.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 41.9250 |
| 2026-08-31 | 51.6000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 54.1000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices received increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | FetchSeries Research calculations on Federal Reserve data |
| Source type | Data research lab |
| Data licence | Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) + FetchSeries disclaimers |
| Other information | Arithmetic average across 4 regional Federal Reserve manufacturing surveys |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
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