Average Fed Mfg Survey: Prices received: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - FSR - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Average Fed Mfg Survey (FetchSeries Research)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on an average of regional Federal Reserve manufacturing surveys, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for prices received stood at 55.1 (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) in September 2026, compared to 50.4 in August.
Sample. There are 268 observations overall in the monthly time series displayed in the plot above. The period covered by the series extends from June 2004 to September 2026.
History. Have a look at some simple statistics computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index was equal on average to 26.9; it achieved a maximum of 65.0 in March 2022; it hit a minimum of -16.2 in March 2009.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 39.3250 |
| 2026-08-31 | 50.4000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 55.1000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices received increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | FetchSeries Research calculations on Federal Reserve data |
| Source type | Data research lab |
| Data licence | Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) + FetchSeries disclaimers |
| Other information | Arithmetic average across 4 regional Federal Reserve manufacturing surveys |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
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