Average Fed Srv Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - FSR - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Average Fed Srv Survey (FetchSeries Research)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on an average of regional Federal Reserve services surveys, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for prices paid was 68.1 (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) in September 2026, compared to 58.1 in August.
Sample. The monthly time series presented in the plot has 153 data points in total. The time range covered by the series extends from January 2014 to September 2026.
History. Have a look at some summary statistics computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index hit a minimum of 1.1 in April 2020; it hit a maximum of 72.0 in May 2022; it had an average value of 48.7.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 58.1667 |
| 2026-08-31 | 58.1000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 68.0667 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | FetchSeries Research calculations on Federal Reserve data |
| Source type | Data research lab |
| Data licence | Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) + FetchSeries disclaimers |
| Other information | Arithmetic average across 3 regional Federal Reserve services surveys |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
Series in the same data set
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