Average Fed Srv Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - FSR - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Average Fed Srv Survey (FetchSeries Research)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on an average of regional Federal Reserve services surveys, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices paid stood at 66.2 (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) in September 2026, compared to 54.0 in August 2026.
Sample. In the monthly time series displayed in the graph, there are 153 data points. The series covers the span of time extending from January 2014 to September 2026.
History. Here's a peek at a few summary statistics we calculated on the full sample: the diffusion index had an average value of 46.5; it achieved a maximum of 68.8 in June 2022; it reached its minimum of 2.7 in April 2020.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 58.6500 |
| 2026-08-31 | 54.0500 |
| 2026-09-30 | 66.1500 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | FetchSeries Research calculations on Federal Reserve data |
| Source type | Data research lab |
| Data licence | Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) + FetchSeries disclaimers |
| Other information | Arithmetic average across 2 regional Federal Reserve services surveys |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
Series in the same data set
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