Average Fed Srv Survey: Number of employees: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - FSR - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Average Fed Srv Survey (FetchSeries Research)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on an average of regional Federal Reserve services surveys, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for the number of employees was 16.9 (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) in September 2026, compared to 11.8 in August.
Sample. There are 153 data points in the monthly series presented in the plot above. The span of time covered by the series is from January 2014 to September 2026.
History. Here’s a quick look at some simple statistics computed on the full sample: the diffusion index registered a minimum of -18.8 in March 2020; it peaked at 41.4 in July 2021; it had an average value of 21.0.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 19.8000 |
| 2026-08-31 | 11.7667 |
| 2026-09-30 | 16.9000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will the number of employees increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | FetchSeries Research calculations on Federal Reserve data |
| Source type | Data research lab |
| Data licence | Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) + FetchSeries disclaimers |
| Other information | Arithmetic average across 3 regional Federal Reserve services surveys |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
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