Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Input prices: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on firms' responses to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey carried out by the Dallas FED, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for input prices (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 61.3 in September 2026, compared to 49.3 in August 2026.
Sample. The monthly series shown in the figure has 237 observations overall. The time span covered by the series goes from January 2007 to September 2026.
History. Here's a peek at a few simple statistics we computed on the entire sample: the diffusion index reached a maximum of 65.5 in June 2022; it registered a minimum of 2.5 in April 2020; it averaged 44.3.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 47.1000 |
| 2026-08-31 | 49.3000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 61.3000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will input prices increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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