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Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Employment: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly

Latest updates. According to survey data about service-sector firms collected by the Federal Reserve in Texas, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for employment (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at 27.7 in September 2026, compared to 19.3 in August.

Sample. This monthly time series has 237 observations. The series covers the period going from January 2007 to September 2026.

History. Here's a glimpse of a few statistics we calculated on the full sample: the diffusion index had an average value of 22.8; it reached its highest level of 45.5 in November 2021; it hit a trough of -32.5 in March 2020.

Latest values

Date Value - Percentage points
2026-07-31 22.4000
2026-08-31 19.3000
2026-09-30 27.7000

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Series Metadata

Field Value
Description Diffusion index for the question: Will employment increase or decrease over the next six months?
Country United States
Economic concept Business survey response
Data type Leading indicator of the business cycle
Deflation method Not applicable
Seasonally adjusted Yes
Rescaling None
Frequency Monthly
Unit Percentage points
Source Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Source type Central bank
Data licence Not copyrightable under U.S. law
Measure type Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease)

Series in the same data set

Discover the other time series included in this data set.

Current conditions SA

Series Name Observations Start Date End Date
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: General business activity: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Revenue: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Employment: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Part-time employment: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Hours worked: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Wages and benefits: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Input prices: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Selling prices: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Capital expenditures: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Company outlook: Current (improvement vs worsening; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Outlook uncertainty: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 105 2018-01-31 2026-09-30

Future conditions SA

Series Name Observations Start Date End Date
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: General business activity: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Revenue: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Employment: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Part-time employment: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Hours worked: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Wages and benefits: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Input prices: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Selling prices: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Capital expenditures: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Company outlook: Future (improvement vs worsening; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30

Current conditions NSA

Series Name Observations Start Date End Date
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: General business activity: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Revenue: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Employment: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Part-time employment: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Hours worked: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Wages and benefits: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Input prices: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Selling prices: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Capital expenditures: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Company outlook: Current (improvement vs worsening; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Outlook uncertainty: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 105 2018-01-31 2026-09-30

Future conditions NSA

Series Name Observations Start Date End Date
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: General business activity: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Revenue: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Employment: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Part-time employment: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Hours worked: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Wages and benefits: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Input prices: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Selling prices: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Capital expenditures: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Company outlook: Future (improvement vs worsening; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly 237 2007-01-31 2026-09-30